Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1204.279688 1389.854561 1604.602521 1873.886597 2205.940421 2606.535387 3.133414e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 957.804748 1193.215495 1495.645249 1922.129169 2524.208247 3370.392088 4.701659e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 823.391064 1073.240526 1415.174425 1934.571606 2736.913421 3992.855208 6.256539e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 715.832889 964.728234 1321.886048 1896.470519 2850.425876 4484.559262 7.807288e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 652.850641 906.406177 1286.136913 1930.360389 3076.103864 5222.453356 1.017518e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 581.435308 824.694930 1200.490533 1863.658839 3106.548004 5605.131919 1.200954e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 526.301248 760.604141 1132.624734 1812.791387 3150.394026 6025.096708 1.420278e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 479.170358 703.607472 1068.433500 1756.304876 3168.066725 6392.685648 1.652458e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 462.886835 694.159054 1082.050718 1844.566568 3504.856493 7642.241698 2.274912e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 443.053881 676.441995 1078.555318 1898.400824 3780.661203 8866.579899 3.042263e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 425.152762 660.004729 1074.947778 1950.794751 4067.899872 10273.876140 4.116042e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 400.920878 630.220362 1043.136285 1938.189970 4190.672765 11242.456317 5.155189e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 382.655230 611.152502 1032.770849 1978.777826 4489.973077 13092.850123 7.341761e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 367.756198 597.060172 1031.001820 2040.745270 4880.146635 15645.404041 1.129549e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 349.468442 574.780504 1009.853638 2052.492903 5127.694022 17852.183581 1.646058e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 328.201387 545.029698 970.073562 2011.596333 5198.363789 19334.402500 2.212082e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 315.752561 531.033383 961.516220 2048.179359 5543.331472 22645.415271 3.651668e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 295.558996 500.405279 914.367250 1976.107957 5485.356027 23632.230987 4.736930e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 278.514303 474.783523 875.732405 1921.180560 5476.464648 24984.390679 6.475363e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 262.461640 450.066978 836.927468 1860.231296 5428.756104 26086.552761 8.743269e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 258.896293 450.071255 853.002520 1955.486864 6039.033850 33060.422144 2.420461e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 252.838923 444.506976 855.836287 2013.642110 6529.739924 40262.024467 7.835590e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 246.971965 438.872283 857.896463 2070.280615 7048.583700 49262.776950 4.735683e+07